Probability has no memory, unlike my group chat

The coin does not remember the last five heads. My friends remember everything.

The coin does not remember the last five heads. My friends, however, remember the time in 2019 I said tails was due, and they bring it up at weddings.

The gambler\u2019s fallacy is believing the universe keeps a ledger. It does not. I keep the ledger.

A short field guide to independence, hot hands, and why streaks feel like prophecy.